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📅 13 Jul – 12 Aug 2026
ELO point changes and match upsets in the 30 days to 12 Aug 2026
Top Gainers
30 days
1
Bromsgrove Sporting FC
Southern Central · #156
+22
2
Uxbridge
Southern South · #121
+21
3
St Albans City
Isthmian Premier · #89
+21
4
Boldmere St Michaels
NPL 1 Midlands · #271
+21
5
London Lions
Southern 1 Central · #333
+21
6
Royston Town
Southern 1 Central · #189
+20
7
Boston Town
NPL 1 Midlands · #275
+20
8
Chertsey Town
Southern South · #98
+20
9
Bedworth United
NPL 1 Midlands · #271
+20
10
Melksham Town FC
Southern 1 South · #275
+20
Biggest Drops
30 days
1
Gloucester City
Southern South · #82
-23
2
Hadley
Southern 1 Central · #238
-20
3
Hallam
NPL 1 East · #323
-20
4
Stockton Town
NPL Premier · #92
-20
5
Gosport Borough
Southern South · #149
-19
6
Quorn
NPL Premier · #125
-19
7
Shaftesbury
Southern 1 South · #217
-18
8
Stamford
Southern Central · #144
-17
9
Havant & Waterlooville
Southern South · #122
-17
10
Sutton Coldfield Town
NPL 1 Midlands · #278
-17
Biggest Upsets
30 days
Ranked by deviation from pre-match ELO probability
Click any match for full details
1
Carlisle United
2–3
Worthing
Away win (only 16% expected)
08 Aug 26
H 69%
D 15%
A 16%
Δ79
2
Needham Market
1–3
Bromsgrove Sporting FC
Away win (only 21% expected)
08 Aug 26
H 61%
D 18%
A 21%
Δ73
3
Maidstone United
1–2
Farnborough
Away win (only 21% expected)
08 Aug 26
H 61%
D 18%
A 21%
Δ72
4
Wroxham
0–2
Ipswich Wanderers
Away win (only 24% expected)
08 Aug 26
FA Cup
H 56%
D 20%
A 24%
Δ69
5
Leek Town
1–2
Whitby Town
Away win (only 24% expected)
08 Aug 26
H 56%
D 20%
A 24%
Δ69
6
Leverstock Green
1–2
London Lions
Away win (only 25% expected)
11 Aug 26
H 55%
D 20%
A 25%
Δ68
7
Bury FC
3–2
Curzon Ashton
Home win (only 27% expected)
11 Aug 26
H 27%
D 20%
A 53%
Δ68
8
Boldmere St Michaels
5–0
Carlton Town
Home win (only 27% expected)
11 Aug 26
H 27%
D 20%
A 53%
Δ67
9
Congleton Town
2–3
AFC Wolverhampton City
Away win (only 25% expected)
08 Aug 26
FA Cup
H 55%
D 20%
A 25%
Δ67
10
Braintree Town
0–4
Tonbridge Angels
Away win (only 25% expected)
08 Aug 26
H 55%
D 20%
A 25%
Δ67
Match detail
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