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📅 10 Apr – 10 May 2026
ELO point changes and match upsets in the 30 days to 10 May 2026
Top Gainers
30 days
1
Melksham Town FC
Southern 1 South · #285
+39
2
Kidderminster Harriers
Nat. Lge North · #14
+38
3
Hanworth Villa
Isthmian 1 SC · #145
+38
4
Racing Club Warwick
NPL 1 Midlands · #210
+38
5
Redbridge
Isthmian 1 North · #190
+36
6
Yate Town
Southern South · #148
+35
7
Portishead Town
Southern 1 South · #162
+33
8
Stanway Rovers
Isthmian 1 North · #174
+31
9
Avro
NPL 1 West · #131
+29
10
Welling United
Isthmian Premier · #114
+29
Biggest Drops
30 days
1
Aldershot Town
National Lge · #21
-38
2
Gainsborough Trinity
NPL Premier · #90
-33
3
Frome Town
Southern 1 South · #107
-32
4
Broadbridge Heath
Isthmian 1 SE · #296
-29
5
Walton & Hersham
Southern South · #56
-28
6
FC United of Manchester
NPL Premier · #92
-26
7
Dorking Wanderers
Nat. Lge South · #32
-24
8
Bamber Bridge
NPL Premier · #158
-24
9
AFC Portchester
Isthmian 1 SC · #185
-24
10
Tiverton Town
Southern South · #271
-23
Biggest Upsets
30 days
Ranked by deviation from pre-match ELO probability
1
Melksham Town FC
2–0
Frome Town
Home win (only 19% expected)
18 Apr 26
H 19%
D 14%
A 67%
Δ81
2
Southport
1–2
Leamington
Away win (only 15% expected)
11 Apr 26
H 70%
D 15%
A 15%
Δ80
3
Evesham United
3–1
Walton & Hersham
Home win (only 21% expected)
11 Apr 26
H 21%
D 16%
A 63%
Δ78
4
Dorking Wanderers
1–3
Bath City
Away win (only 17% expected)
18 Apr 26
H 67%
D 16%
A 17%
Δ77
5
Chelmsford City
1–3
Eastbourne Borough
Away win (only 19% expected)
25 Apr 26
H 64%
D 17%
A 19%
Δ75
6
Gainsborough Trinity
1–2
Prescot Cables
Away win (only 20% expected)
18 Apr 26
H 63%
D 17%
A 20%
Δ74
7
Dartford
2–3
Cray Valley PM
Away win (only 20% expected)
25 Apr 26
H 62%
D 18%
A 20%
Δ73
8
Scunthorpe United
0–1
Eastleigh
Away win (only 21% expected)
25 Apr 26
H 61%
D 18%
A 21%
Δ73
9
Felixstowe & Walton United FC
2–3
Redbridge
Away win (only 21% expected)
28 Apr 26
H 61%
D 18%
A 21%
Δ73
10
Hassocks
3–1
AFC Croydon Athletic
Home win (only 24% expected)
11 Apr 26
H 24%
D 19%
A 57%
Δ72